| Title | Stochastic Analysis of Future Vehicle Populations |
|---|---|
| Record ID | 31645 |
| Personal Name Creator |
Golomb, D. Henry; Bunch, Howard M. |
| Source | 112p. in various pagings |
| Corporate Contributor |
University of Michigan. Highway Safety Research Institute; United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration; John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.) |
| Publisher | United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration |
| Publication Date | 19790500 |
| Language | English |
| Abstract | The purpose of this study was to build a stochastic model of future vehicle populations. Such a model can be used to investigate the uncertainties inherent in Future Vehicle Populations. The model, which is called the Future Automobile Population Stochastic Model (FAPS Model), consists of two major components: (1) Model of New Car Sales. The model of new car sales is the model of automobile demand developed by Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, revised to incorporate the new vehicle survival model that was developed. (2) A procedure for Specifying Future Planned and Unplanned Events. This procedure, which specifies the Future Values of exogenous parameters of the model, incorporates the uncertainty of these parameters into the model. A computer program of the FPAS Model was written and is documented in the report. |
| Rosap ID | dot:8553 |
| Rosap URL | https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/8553 |
| TRT Terms | Stochastic programming; Future; Sales; Automobiles; Fuel consumption; Energy conservation; Combustion efficiency; Climate change; Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Exhaust gases; Pollution control |
| General Subjects | Stochastic analysis; FAPS model; Wharton model; Vehicle survival |
| Classification | NTL - ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT - ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT; NTL - ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT - Alternative Fuels; NTL - ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT - Air Quality |
| Geographical Coverage |
United States |
| Contract Number | DOT-TS-13729 |
| Report Number | HS-803-656; UM-HSRI-78-15; DOT-TSC-NHTSA-79-20 |
| Availability | Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Technical Reference Center |
| Resource type | Research Paper |
| URL | https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/31000/31600/31645/TRISAN00198195.pdf |
| Format | |
| Database | NTL Digital Repository |