| Title | Forecasting Trade and the Merchant Fleet. |
|---|---|
| Record ID | 49108 |
| Personal Name Creator |
Weiers, Bruce J.; Kelleher, Jeanette |
| Source | 210p. in various pagings |
| Corporate Creator | John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.) |
| Corporate Contributor |
United States. Department of Transportation. Maritime Administration |
| Publisher | United States. Dept. of Transportation. Research and Special Programs Administration |
| Publication Date | 19870401 |
| Language | English |
| Abstract | This report presents the results of an effort to develop a forecast of the ships required for U.S. oceanborne foreign trade. The ability to accurately identify trends that affect the fleet can provide important information to the U.S. maritime industry. Within an economic framework, the prospects of U.S. maritime foreign trade, future development of seaborn trade, and ships thay carry trade are discussed. Principles of trade, factors governing the development of the merchant fleet, past trends, and recent forecasts are examined; implications are drawn regarding the developments to the end of the century and beyond. Nominal fleet forecasts using notional ships are presented to quantify the relationship of trade growth to the need for fleet expansion. |
| Rosap ID | dot:10586 |
| Rosap URL | https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/10586 |
| TRT Terms | Merchant marine; Merchant vessels; Cargo ships; Shipping; Ships; Trade; International trade; Forecasting |
| General Subjects | Oceanborne trade; Merchant fleet; Trade patterns; Commodity forecasts |
| Classification | NTL - MARINE/WATERWAYS TRANSPORTATION - MARINE/WATERWAYS TRANSPORTATION; NTL - MARINE/WATERWAYS TRANSPORTATION - Marine Planning and Policy; NTL - MARINE/WATERWAYS TRANSPORTATION - Marine Economics and Finance; NTL - MARINE/WATERWAYS TRANSPORTATION - Ships and Vessels |
| Geographical Coverage |
United States |
| Report Number | DOT-TSC-RSPA-87-02; MA-RD-770-87025; PB87-205225 |
| Resource type | Tech Report |
| URL | https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/49000/49100/49108/DOT-TSC-RSPA-87-02.pdf |
| Format | |
| Database | NTL Digital Repository |