NTL Record

Title Risk Assessment in Fixed Guideway Transit System Construction
Record ID 56542
Personal Name
Creator
Touran, Ali; Bolster, Paul J.; Thayer, Scott W.
Corporate Creator Northeastern University (Boston, Mass.)
Corporate
Contributor
United States. Federal Transit Administration. University Research and Training Program
Publisher United States. Department of Transportation
Publication Date 19940101
Language English
Abstract The importance and urgency of risk analysis in today's complex projects, in face of financial constraints, has spurred several research efforts in this area. Cost overruns are commonplace in the design and construction of complex capital projects such as fixed guideway transit systems. One major reason for cost overruns is the uncertainty inherent in various aspects of the work. This uncertainty can result in a wide range of outcomes that in turn may impact project cost and schedule in unfavorable ways. Risk assessment is difficult in large capital transit projects. Yet, it is imperative that the owners or sponsors engage in a rigorous, systematic analysis of major sources of risk. The objective of this report is to help the owner or sponsor in developing a framework for managing risk in the design and construction of fixed guideway transit projects. Risk, as used in the context of this report, is defined primarily as the potential for monetary loss resulting from uncertainty about the project. In order to develop the risk management framework, first the sources of risk must be identified and categorized. Then a measurement system should be used to quantify the risk. Finally, each risk item should be allocated between the parties involved in an equitable manner. If the project risks can be identified in a timely manner, quantified in a logical way, and allocated properly between the project participants (sponsor, owner, contractor, and engineer), then the likelihood of significant cost and schedule overruns will be reduced considerably.
Rosap ID dot:600
Rosap URL https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/600
TRT Terms Construction; Guideways; Risk analysis; Risk management
General Subjects Construction; Public Transportation; Railroads
Geographical
Coverage
Massachusetts; United States
TRIS Online
Accession No
1594675
Report Number DOT-I-85-26
Resource type Tech Report
URL https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/56000/56500/56542/riskassessmenti9501alit_0.pdf
Format PDF
Database NTL Digital Repository