NTL Record

Title Meta-Analysis of Graduated Driver Licensing Laws [Final Report]
Record ID 59974
Personal Name
Creator
Masten, Scott V.; Thomas, F. Dennis; Korbelak, Kristopher T.; Peck, Raymond C.; Blomberg, Richard D.
Personal Name
Contributor
Byrd, Mary T.
Corporate Creator Dunlap and Associates, Inc.
Corporate
Contributor
United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Office of Behavioral Safety Research
Publisher United States. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Publication Date 20151101
Language English
Abstract The objective of the present study was to assess the effectiveness of GDL programs for reducing total, injury, and fatal crashes among drivers 15 to 20 years old by conducting a meta-analysis of GDL research since 2001 that evaluated the effectiveness of GDL systems overall and GDL components individually. The final sample of 14 selected studies represented 13 different States, and three represented GDL programs across most or all U.S. States. Results of the meta-analysis showed that GDL programs as a whole were associated with statistically reliable reductions in traffic crashes outcomes of 16 percent for 16-year-olds and 11 percent for 17-year-olds, but were not reliably associated with changes in crash outcomes for 18- or 19-year-olds. Unfortunately, the numbers of effect sizes representing the unique effects of individual GDL components and calibrations were small for most of the components, particularly when stratified by the ranges of possible calibrations for those components. Although the exact effectiveness of individual GDL provisions could not be determined, the meta-analysis uncovered no indication that any provision was necessarily counterproductive for the GDL target audience of 16- and 17-year olds. Thus, a reasonable strategy for any State considering passage of a GDL law might involve enumerating the full range of provisions applicable to that State, determining which could be reasonably operationalized given available resources and support from key agencies and organizations, and adopting as comprehensive an approach as possible.
Rosap ID dot:1965
Rosap URL https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/1965
ResearchHub ID 6586
TRT Terms Driver licensing; Crash injury research; Crash injuries; Crash exposure; Risk assessment; Young adults; Crash analysis
General Subjects GDL; graduated driver licensing; novice driver; restrictions; meta-analysis; driver licensing; crashes; effect sizes; Research Hub
Geographical
Coverage
United States
Contract Number DTNH22-11-D-00225, Task Order 1
Report Number DOT HS 812 211
Availability NHTSA - Behavioral Safety Research
Resource type Tech Report
URL https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/59000/59900/59974/Meta-Analysis_of_Graduated_Driver_Licensing_Laws_20181012.pdf
Format PDF
Database NTL Digital Repository