| Title | Feasibility of Modeling the Relationship between Seat Belt Program Inputs and Outcomes |
|---|---|
| Record ID | 65288 |
| Personal Name Creator |
Romano, Eduardo; Thomas, Dennis; Blomberg, Richard D.; Ramirez, Anthony |
| Corporate Creator | Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation |
| Corporate Contributor |
United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Office of Behavioral Safety Research |
| Publisher | United States. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration |
| Publication Date | 20180401 |
| Language | English |
| Abstract | The objective of this project was to determine the feasibility of building a model that could be used as a decision-making tool for State Highway Safety Offices (SHSOs) to help predict how resource adjustments may affect seat belt use (both positively and negatively) to avoid inadvertent negative effects on seat belt use rates and unrestrained fatalities. To accomplish this objective, the study focused on 1) exploring the existence, availability, and quality of data needed to build a useful model; 2) preparing a description of the types of models that may be worth exploring given the data that are likely available; and 3) discussing the implications of the findings for future model development. The present study examined only the initial feasibility of a seat belt predictive model. Ultimately, the feasibility of any model can only be determined by developing a model and assessing the validity and reliability of that model by comparing the model output with what occurs after specific decisions are made. The present study involved determining the initial step in that process by assessing whether data and modeling techniques exist that could support a viable model. The overall conclusion of the study was that while the available evidence points to potential feasibility, it is not clear that the input variables would provide sufficient precision to create a useful predictive model due to limitations regarding what is available to the SHSOs. |
| Rosap ID | dot:36721 |
| Rosap URL | https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/36721 |
| ResearchHub ID | 10758 |
| TRT Terms | Highway safety; Feasibility analysis; Occupant protection devices; Resource allocation; Safety programs; Seat belt use |
| General Subjects | seat belt; seat belt program; inputs and outcomes; occupant protection model; feasibility study; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Research Hub |
| Classification | NTL - SAFETY AND SECURITY - SAFETY AND SECURITY; NTL - SAFETY AND SECURITY - Highway Safety |
| Geographical Coverage |
United States |
| Contract Number | DTNH2211D0000226L Task Order 5 |
| Report Number | DOT HS 812 524 |
| Resource type | Tech Report |
| URL | https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/65000/65200/65288/DOTHS812524_20180830.pdf |
| Format | |
| Database | NTL Digital Repository |