| Title | Building Feedback into Modelling Impacts of Automated Vehicles: Developing a Consensus Model and Quantitative Tool |
|---|---|
| Record ID | 74008 |
| Personal Name Creator |
Rakoff, Hannah; Smith, Scott; Innamaa, Satu; Barnard, Yvonne; Harrison, Gillian; Shaw, Jingsi |
| Corporate Creator | John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.); VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland LTD; University of Leeds. Institute for Transport Studies |
| Corporate Contributor |
United States. Department of Transportation. Intelligent Transportation Systems Joint Program Office |
| Publisher | John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.) |
| Publication Date | 20200428 |
| Language | English |
| Abstract | System dynamics offers a rigorous approach to modelling the sometimes-surprising dynamics endogenous in complex systems and is ideal for gaining insight into potential impacts of automation in transport. Researchers from Europe and the U.S. are developing a consensus model, starting from an impact assessment framework presented at TRA 2018 and published shortly thereafter. This paper reports on a 2019 group model building workshop, which collated the intelligence of a diverse international group of modelling, transport and liveability/equity experts, focusing on socioeconomic impacts of highly automated vehicles, from household and public authority standpoints. Subsequent work developed a general framework from which detailed system dynamics models can be created for specific research questions. The ultimate goal is to develop a quantitative tool that can help planners and policy-makers understand how highly automated vehicles may fit within the transport system, and to begin to explore consequences of potential actions under various scenarios. |
| Rosap ID | dot:48969 |
| Rosap URL | https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/48969 |
| TRT Terms | Intelligent vehicles; Impact studies; Forecasting |
| General Subjects | system dynamics; automated vehicles; impact assessment; scenario planning; causal loop structures; feedback |
| Geographical Coverage |
United States; Finland; United Kingdom |
| TRIS Online Accession No |
1738890 |
| Contract Number | 51HW9EA400; 51HW9EA500; DTFH61-17-V-00010; 693JJ318N3000035 |
| Report Number | DOT-VNTSC-FHWA-20-10 |
| Availability | Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Technical Reference Center |
| Resource type | Research Paper |
| URL | https://ntlrepository.blob.core.windows.net/lib/74000/74000/74008/TRA2020_16102019_Rakoff_corrected_date.pdf |
| Format | |
| Database | NTL Digital Repository |